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How to test a hire against your cash flow

How to model a new hire in a cash flow forecast before you commit: what to include, how long it takes to pay back, and a worked example.

6 minute read · Updated 30 September 2026

Why hires need testing

A hire is one of the largest commitments a small business makes, and the cost starts on day one while the benefit, if any, arrives later. The question is not only whether you can afford them next month. It is whether your cash stays above your buffer through the months before they start paying their way.

Count the whole cost

Salary is only part of it. Include employer National Insurance, employer pension contributions, recruitment fees, equipment and software, and any training or onboarding time. Then include when each cost falls: a recruitment fee is usually paid up front, not spread.

Next, be honest about when they will generate income or release income from others. A new billable hire often takes weeks or months to reach full utilisation.

A worked example

Assume a business with £30,000 in the bank, a cash buffer of £25,000, and a net cash inflow of £1,000 a month before any hire. A new hire costs £4,000 a month all in, and starts generating an extra £6,000 a month in billings from month 3.

Closing cash by month (illustrative numbers)
MonthWithout the hireWith the hire
1£31,000£27,000
2£32,000£24,000
3£33,000£27,000
4£34,000£30,000

The hire pays for itself from month 3, but in month 2 cash falls to £24,000, which is £1,000 below the buffer. The plan works, but with no margin. That is the kind of finding you want before you sign, not after.

What to do with the result

  • Start the hire a month later, or part time at first.
  • Bring forward an invoice or agree a deposit on the work the hire will deliver.
  • Choose a contractor for the first months instead of an employee.
  • Accept the dip and arrange a short facility in advance.

Doing this in Cadence

Scenarios in Cadence let you add a hire, a new project or a lost client on top of your real forecast and see the effect on cash and the buffer line, without changing your actual numbers. You can switch each scenario on and off. See the features.

General information, not financial or employment advice.

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General information, not financial, tax or legal advice.